Medicare Advantage enrollments as of February 2017 reflected a higher year-end growth than the previous two years, and consistent with the percentage growth in 2013 and 2014.  The table below shows that Medicare Advantage enrollments increased over 900,000 from December 2016 to February 2017, substantially higher than the growth in a count and percentage basis than the previous two years.

Medicare Advantage Enrollment

December Enrollment CountsFebruary Enrollment CountsVariance% Increase
Dec 20089,886,679Feb 200910,371,946485,2674.7%
Dec 200910,909,969Feb 201010,965,13655,1670.5%
Dec 201011,449,091Feb 201111,727,890278,7992.4%
Dec 201112,165,597Feb 201212,844,304678,7075.3%
Dec 201213,382,709Feb 201314,062,975680,2664.8%
Dec 201314,603,357Feb 201415,349,557746,2004.9%
Dec 201415,860,248Feb 201516,334,503474,2552.9%
Dec 201516,734,813Feb 201617,144,460409,6472.4%
Dec 201617,563,828Feb 201718,467,665903,8374.9%

Med Adv Enrollment Increase Chart


Based on these February 2017 enrollment numbers, CSG Actuarial is projecting that Medicare Advantage enrollment as of December 2017 will be 18.9 million (or 20.1 million if other Medicare “capitation” contracts are included).